By Irfan Tariq
It is true that history and historical facts sometimes repeat themselves in one form or another, just as the hands of a clock turn back and forth, but the elapsed time does not return, the elapsed time. Much changes at the same time, but the change and history we are talking about here is the changing sun of Afghanistan, which set twenty years ago today and revolves around the rocky cliffs of Tora Bora. Doha was hit by a collision, and now it is trying to rise from Doha to the plains of Afghanistan in the same way, in the form of the Taliban. History has reversed or history is repeating itself. ۔
Twenty years later today, in response to the 9/11 attacks, Afghan bombers tore apart Afghanistan and the then Taliban government, and today the United States has returned, evacuating Bagram Air Base. In the same way that Soviet troops were defeated on Afghan soil forty years ago today, and one day they had to leave Afghanistan in the same way that the United States did today at Bagram Air Base. The return journey has begun, the return journey is conditional on the start because the US has not yet fully withdrawn from Afghanistan, but the September deadline is being given, then the month of September is of historic significance. These were the historical facts, now taking a closer look at the Afghan journey from the past to the present, what happened, what is happening and what is going to happenThe Trump administration and the Pentagon were left alone after the economic downturn and were forced to ponder how the United States would now emerge from the war when the United States announced that it would It will go from Afghanistan to 2016, although there have been many announcements before, but it was so difficult for the United States to get out of this fire that no traces can be seen in the distance. Finally, the United States came up with a new plan. He said that the Taliban should be completely eliminated under the guise of negotiations, but in this policy, the United States faced very disappointing results and then history repeated itself. The only difference was that at that time, the United States withdrew from Iraq. It took years, and today the United States took four to six years to get out of Afghanistan, because the United States had planned to get out of Afghanistan in two thousand fourteen, fifteen and sixteen decades, but as it went, something had to be done to remember history. But this time, the United States did not achieve what it set out to do, and in the end, the United States did. Evacuates Bagram Air Base
Bagram Air Base was the largest US warship in Afghanistan from which Afghanistan and other countries developed war strategy after the Pentagon. In a sense, this base can also be called the center of practical war strategy after the Pentagon. For the readers’ attention, Bagram Air Base should be mentioned that this base was built in 1906, at that time it was used only as a runway, after which it was used in the Soviet war. Gaya and all the foreign forces that entered Afghanistan used this base. In that sense, it would not be wrong to call the Afghan war encyclopedia Bagram Air Base because the history of Afghan war strategy is based on this base. Interestingly, the devastation that took place here during the Soviet war.
The base was built with the help of the United States by the then provincial government. It is foolish to believe that the last US troops have left the Begram Air Base. Because the United States is still saying that it is having a hard time getting out and talking about September, I have to believe in the deadline to some extent based on my poor experience, but Still waiting for another September because September 9 was 9/11 when the clouds of attack on the United States and then the attack on Afghanistan enveloped the whole world, now it remains to be seen what the strategy of the United States would be in September. Yes, the United States should not say again that a few troops will be stationed like in 2016, but the US President has hinted at this to some extent, or the United States is planning to make September a memorable one. Is doing, nothing can be said in this regard will be premature but it is feared that the United States will not come up with a new move for Pakistan because at this time the United States is very angry. As in the past, the Pakistani government has turned its wishes into denials and sabotaged the secret mission set up in 2000, but I said at the outset that history is repeating itself, but this time something. The global political scenario has changed. In the past, the US helped us by trapping us, but this time the story of China and the US is a bit different, and it is feared that this time the US will seek help from India and Pakistan, China and Iran. Will be a block of, because both the anti-US countries are also neighbors of Pakistan and time is needed that Iran and China will give full support to Pakistan which is to the advantage of all three countries, now it is to be seen that the US which is two thousand fourteen It has taken six years for the United States to withdraw from Afghanistan, so in those six years the United States must have planned something to keep its influence in the region beyond Afghanistan, but the answers to all these questions. YouSee you in September.
What is going to happen in these two or three months now, if we look at the latest situation in Afghanistan at the moment, it is the seventh month of this year, and it is the first week, meaning there are still about one day left for the US to withdraw completely. Which may span a hundred days, the links of US officials in recent days with India and then with a group of Indian Taliban are also found in the United States, and the bitter and some of the past Due to hypocritical practices, Pakistan B has also gained a lot of experience that Pakistan will no longer be a part of anyone’s war, then what will be the situation of political peace and order in Afghanistan after the expected complete withdrawal of the United States in Afghanistan. Only time will tell, but the questions that arise are that the United States declared the Taliban terrorists, now what will tell the world that the United States has now made those who were declared terrorists in the past its friend? And if the Taliban are recognized at the negotiating table, then who will be responsible for such a long war and its effects, the United States or the United Nations? The member states that supported American policies after 9/11 have so far reportedly infiltrated the Taliban in Wardak Province, just about 200 kilometers from Kabul, and several other important provinces, including Badakhshan. The districts are also under the control of the Taliban, which was already a Taliban stronghold in one way or another, and the Afghan government, backed by foreign forces, had influence over Kabul and a few other areas. It is too early to say what the Taliban do, but the Northern Alliance and pro-India leaders have joined hands, while there are reports that Afghan forces have provided weapons to the Taliban in some places. But on the other hand, the Afghan army chief says that the violence will be dealt with and the areas will be regained control. After this statement, the Taliban claim that they will take further steps, when will they do it? There will be an evacuation, and in the meantime there is a dialogue process between the US and the Taliban, there are talks, and there are still differences in the Ashraf Ghani government, which is directly benefiting the Taliban, if we Speaking of Mullah Omar’s era, there is a stark difference between the Taliban of that time and today’s Taliban. In the Taliban system, the policies of Mullah Omar’s era also seem to be changing. Obviously, a new vessel will emerge in twenty years. After such a long war, the younger generation now wants some change, and among the leaders of the Mullah Omar era in the Taliban are now educated young people who are slightly different from the traditional Taliban, who have been thinking for twenty years. It will be different from the previous Taliban, thanks to today’s technology, or let’s say the Taliban is now a religious organization as well as Afghanistan. I am entering the field as a political party, and one of the doubts about the success of the Taliban’s negotiation process and success with the United States was that the Taliban wisely admitted that the Taliban had been negotiating with the United States since 2118. The process was busy in Doha. Earlier, Pakistan had also tried to play the role of mediator in these talks, but the United States was still angry with Pakistan, because the United States was pulling Pakistan towards Dow Moore. On the other hand, he was secretly expanding his friendship with the Taliban. When Pakistan came to know, then the Pandora’s box was opened and it was revealed that the United States was now working hand in hand with Pakistan. Then Pakistan understood the real game changer. The US needed Pakistan’s help and will continue to do so, now it is clear that the Taliban in Wardak province
When do they advance beyond, when do they get the next signal and what strategy do the anti-Taliban forces in Afghanistan adopt, whether they leave their country and then go to Germany and the United States or Australia. Because there are some reports that American forces With that, history will take a turn for the worse and there will be a war between the Northern Alliance and the Taliban as in the past. If that happens, who will take over, while this time China has also hinted at playing a mediating role and a coalition government in Afghanistan. Building is the future of Afghanistan, while Pakistan is ready to help the Afghans as a mediator, but does not support any kind of intervention.
If we look at all the above-mentioned situations and events in the mirror of history, then even during the Soviet war, foreign forces were stationed in the fruit and vegetable provinces of Afghanistan, but this time it is a little different. Bari is the largest province, ie it is self-sufficient in commodities. That is why the Taliban have set up camp here first. This province consists of eight districts. The Taliban had writ in some areas before and the Kabul government There have been several defeats in advancing with the Americans, and in the last twenty years the Americans and Afghan forces have never had full control over Afghanistan, but the Taliban have claimed control of most of the territory. It may be surmised that when Raqam went to Afghanistan during the 9/11 attacks, the Northern Alliance’s hats had taken over the Taliban’s turbans in such a way that Taliban supporters wore black turbans for fear of US attacks. He took off his Northern Alliance hats and once again history has revived Trying to repeat the past by taking a juice turn, which not only threatens to lead to civil war, because itAfghanistan’s historical tradition is that whenever there is a transfer of political power after the devastation of a war, then there must be a short or long civil war in view of which it is possible to gain power with the help of external forces
It remains to be seen which force will come after the US withdrawal in Afghanistan this time or whether the US will adopt its aggressive policies in the Pentagon through modern technology, and it remains to be seen whether this time again, including the Taliban. Whether other parties form a coalition government with Northern Alliance hats and black turbans or not, but on the other hand, which side is Pakistan’s biggest enemy, will it leave Afghanistan with the United States or not? Will he continue to help his fully trained agents, will the black turbaned Hindus be tolerated, does Mullah Omar’s Taliban have the same heart for Pakistan as Mullah Omar has, the answer to all these questions is the complete withdrawal of the United States. It is possible later, but whatever surprise the United States may give on this complete evacuation, but September is again in a surprise mode. During the American evacuation, a surprise has come to light that July 4 is the day of American Independence. And on July 4, the last US soldier returns from Bagram Air Base, so now it’s Afghanis A day of celebration has also been set for them, that is, the day the Americans celebrate their independence and the day of the withdrawal of American troops, on the same day the Afghans will also celebrate their independence in this celebration of the Americans.
In the end, it is up to the readers to decide whether to call this 20-year war on terror the return of Tarzan or the arrival of Tarzan…
The writer is a journalist based in Islamabad. He reports on politics, economy and Afghan affairs and can be reached at [email protected]