{"id":65035,"date":"2026-07-30T17:27:25","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T17:27:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/?p=65035"},"modified":"2026-07-30T17:27:25","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T17:27:25","slug":"irans-nuclear-capability-retaliation-and-global-catastrophe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/2026\/07\/30\/irans-nuclear-capability-retaliation-and-global-catastrophe\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran’s Nuclear Capability, Retaliation and Global Catastrophe"},"content":{"rendered":"

Qamar Bashir<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The potential for nuclear escalation represents the most terrifying dimension of the Iran war. The Trump administration’s framing of the Pickaxe mountain facility as a potential existential threat to the United States and the global community is deeply concerning.<\/p>\n

This facility is so strong, so formidable, and so meticulously designed that normal conventional weapons are unable to reach its core. The durability of Pickaxe to conventional interdiction has led to discussions in media, in podcasts and in political parlance about the potential use of nuclear weapons as perhaps the only solution to prevent Iran from assuming the status of a nuclear power.<\/p>\n

There are troubling indications that Donald Trump has already considered the use of nuclear weapons, with reports suggesting he has approached the Pentagon at least once, perhaps twice, to draw up nuclear strike options against Iran.<\/p>\n

The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff has rejected these requests, citing fundamental unconstitutionality. However, the danger lies in the potential use of intelligence information to manufacture a threat that would be adaptable to US doctrine.<\/p>\n

The nuclear posture review and the commander’s guidance to the nuclear implementation plan have already created a definition that permits the United States to use nuclear weapons if an existential threat is identified.<\/p>\n

If the United States determines that Iran is installing a viable centrifuge capability or has installed a nuclear warhead assembly plant, the cognitive justification for nuclear use becomes dangerously plausible.<\/p>\n

The potential for a nuclear strike on the Pickaxe facility would have catastrophic consequences. While Iran might survive a nuclear attack if it does not fall on most of its cities, the Iranian counterattack would likely eliminate Israel, a small country that cannot survive even a small or middle-level nuclear warhead. Furthermore, Iran has declared it possesses fissile material to produce 10 to 15 atomic warheads, along with sophisticated delivery mechanisms.<\/p>\n

Iran has made it clear that it possesses the fissile material necessary to produce nuclear weapons and has the delivery mechanisms already available in a very sophisticated form. The war has fundamentally altered the nuclear calculus. With the killing of the previous Supreme Leader, US intelligence agencies now assess that his successor is far more interested in pursuing a nuclear weapon. This shift represents a grave consequence of the US policy of regime change. Iran’s leadership likely views the acquisition of nuclear capability as the ultimate deterrent against the existential threat posed by Washington and Israel.<\/p>\n

The retaliatory potential extends beyond the immediate region. While Iran’s delivery systems may not currently be able to reach the United States directly, such weapons could be transported through cargo ships and launched when they approach American shores. This possibility is logically, militarily, and otherwise plausible. The threat of retaliation would likely cause the United States and Israel to think hundreds of times before making such a decision, but the Trump administration’s pumped-up ego and hubristic attitude may lead it to continue pursuing domination on the battlefield regardless of the consequences.<\/p>\n

Secondly, Iran’s ability to shut down the Strait of Hormuz represents the most potent economic weapon at its disposal. The impact would extend far beyond those countries that import oil to include those that import fertilizers and food.<\/p>\n

Without fertilizer, the production of grain and food will be diminished to a large extent, creating starvation in many countries of the world. Both the shortage of oil, which runs the economy, and the shortage of fertilizer, which keeps the population alive, would affect billions of people.<\/p>\n

The resultant immigration pressure on Europe and other countries would be catastrophic. Millions of people would die, and those who are not admitted by European countries and other nations would perish in the sea or on the land.<\/p>\n

This catastrophic scenario has a great possibility if the issue is not resolved amicably. The expansion of the conflict to the Red Sea, where Iran’s Houthi allies in Yemen have declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, threatens to close a second major global shipping route, exacerbating the disruption of essential commodities.<\/p>\n

Europe, by remaining deaf, dumb, and blind to the crimes being committed by the United States, faces a future of unimaginable suffering. When Africa goes under, when the Sahel and West Africa lose the capacity to produce food, tens of millions of people will begin a forced migration because they have no choice. They will lose tens of millions in the deserts of the Sahara, but they will arrive at the shores of the Maghreb, of North Africa, and they will surge into Europe.<\/p>\n

The Iranian population, when they lose the capacity to produce food, will move through Turkey into Europe. Turkey will give them the sign to keep going, and Europe will be literally overrun by desperate refugees that will suck Europe dry.<\/p>\n

This is the future of Europe because of the policies of Donald Trump. The potential for billions of people to die represents the future of humanity because of the catastrophe that is about to unfold. Once this process begins, once the infrastructure of life support deteriorates, it cannot be readily reconstituted. The world will be losing so much of its energy and resources responding to these global catastrophes that it will not be able to put the effort into reconstitution. Humanity is being condemned to an absolute decade or more of catastrophe.<\/p>\n

The responsibility for this war and its repercussions rests entirely with both Israel and the United States. They are the ones who should bear the burden of putting back the clock and turning the world once again to a normal situation.<\/p>\n

If the United States decides to use nuclear weapons, the world might see a total catastrophic situation that must be avoided by all countries putting their heads together in unity to stop this war as soon as possible, ensuring that humanity is not eliminated from the face of the earth.<\/p>\n

The international community must recognize that the conflict has reached a point where Iran has refused to succumb and the United States is bent on making Iran surrender. In both these situations, the only weaponry system the United States has now which can change the war scenario is the nuclear weapon.<\/p>\n

But if Iran also surprises both Israel and the United States as it has done in conventional warfare while starting nuclear warfare, then the world might see a total catastrophic situation.<\/p>\n

The potential for nuclear escalation, the disruption of global<\/p>\n

energy supplies, the threat of mass starvation, and the prospect of millions of refugees overwhelming Europe represent a catastrophic scenario that the world must recognize and address.<\/p>\n

The cycle of violence appears destined to continue, with Iran having learned to manage the conflict and the United States lacking a clear path to victory. The world needs to start shouting. The crimes being committed by the United States must be exposed, and the international community must demand an end to this insane policy.<\/p>\n

Donald Trump’s decisions are condemning humanity to catastrophe, and every European leader who remains silent shares the responsibility for what is to come.<\/p>\n

The time for action is now. The world must put its head together in unity to stop this war as soon as possible, ensuring that humanity is not eliminated from the face of the earth. The alternative is unthinkable: a future of starvation, migration, and death on a scale never before witnessed in human history. This is not hyperbole; this is the reality of the moment, and it must be confronted with the urgency it demands.<\/p>\n

The writer is Press Secretary to the President (Rtd),Former Press Minister, Embassy of Pakistan to France,Former Press Attach\u00e9 to Malaysia\u00a0and Former MD, SRBC .He is living in \u00a0Michigan, USA<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Qamar Bashir The potential for nuclear escalation represents the most terrifying dimension of the Iran war. The Trump administration’s framing of the Pickaxe mountain facility as a potential existential threat to the United States and the global community is deeply concerning. This facility is so strong, so formidable, and so meticulously designed that normal conventional […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33798,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[1432,39,1433],"class_list":["post-65035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-editorial-articles","tag-irans-nuclear-capability","tag-qamar-bashir","tag-retaliation-and-global-catastrophe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65035"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65035\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65036,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65035\/revisions\/65036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33798"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dailyspokesman.net\/live\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}